Association between serum procalcitonin levels and outcomes of patients admitted to two tertiary paediatric intensive care units in Bloemfontein: A retrospective analytical study

Main Article Content

A M Luyo Sanchez
M A Pienaar

Abstract





Background. Procalcitonin (PCT) is used in the diagnosis of sepsis. Its capability as a prognostic marker is unclear. The association between PCT and paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) outcomes has not been investigated in the South African setting.


Objectives. To determine the association between admission PCT, and trends within 72 hours of admission, and outcomes of patients admitted to the PICU at two tertiary academic hospitals.


Methods. The study was a two-year, double centre, retrospective, analytical cross-sectional medical record review.


Results. A total of 381 participants were included in the study; 55 died and 220 required mechanical ventilation. Non-survivors had a higher median admission PCT than survivors (p<0.0001, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.28 - 15.12). Non-survivors had a higher median PCT at 48 - 72 hours than survivors (p<0.0001, 95% CI 2.50 - 21.72). Non-survivors had less of a median decrease in PCT than survivors (p=0.22, 95% CI -0.59 - 4.72). The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROCC) for admission PCT to discriminate for mortality was 0.6702 and for the 48 - 72 hour PCT it was 0.7369. There was a positive correlation between PCT and number of ventilator days (Spearman correlation co-efficient =0.1477, p=0.0138). There was no correlation between the length of PICU stay and admission PCT (p=0.7579) or PCT change (p=0.2034).


Conclusion. Single PCT measurements display some ability to discriminate for PICU mortality. Serial PCT measurements provide greater prognostic information. Non-survivors had a significantly greater median admission PCT, median PCT at 48 - 72 hours and a lower median PCT decrease than survivors.





Article Details

Section

Research Articles

Author Biography

A M Luyo Sanchez, Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Free State, Bloemfontein, South Africa

Specialist Paediatrician, Senior Lecturer. Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, University of the Free State

How to Cite

Association between serum procalcitonin levels and outcomes of patients admitted to two tertiary paediatric intensive care units in Bloemfontein: A retrospective analytical study. (2025). Southern African Journal of Critical Care, 41(1), e2247. https://doi.org/10.7196/SAJCC.2025.v41i1.2247

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